Zhan Wang in San Francisco; politics

[anhinga_drafts]

http://www.boingboing.net/2008/05/06/san-francisco-sculpt.html (via Andrew Sullivan)

In the Asian Art Museum in SF till May 25 (see links at the end of the post)

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Obama finally leads in the superdelegates as well (although he still trails about 15 votes among the DNC/DPL bureaucracy):

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/02/superdelegate-history-tracker.html

Comments

[anhinga-drafts.livejournal.com]

The question is, what kind of numbers would temporary stop or considerably slow the superdelegate conversions to Obama. That's the only real meaning of "moral" here..

[http://users.livejournal.com/_rowan_tree_/]

That's the only real meaning of "moral" here - love this!!
Look, I was all "wait-and-see" about this race for months. And now my answer to your question is - no numbers would do it. None. Short of 80-20, no numbers will do it. The train has left the station.

[anhinga-drafts.livejournal.com]

Oh, they won't do this, but they would create enough anxiety..

[http://users.livejournal.com/_rowan_tree_/]

I am sure superdelegates read the news and are familiar with the WV polls. And yet they are switching to Obama as we speak. This means that they are confident enough, otherwise they would've waited till WV is over.
You can be anxious or not - your choice. But, barring a tornado hitting Obama or him being exposed as a child molester, the result of the nomination is clear. So I prefer to sit back and relax.

[anhinga-drafts.livejournal.com]

In any case, my humble prediction is that he'll get more delta in supers in the coming 2 days (compared to the current +3.5), than in the subsequent week..

People who are ready to switch will switch before WV..

[http://users.livejournal.com/_rowan_tree_/]

That's probably true. As long as they don't switch back, that's OK.
My guess is, however, that Hillary's delta will not increase after WV either: her supporters want to boost WV by switching now.

[anhinga-drafts.livejournal.com]

I should record here that my humble prediction was wrong, although there was some WV fall-out.

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It turns out Oregon has an unusual system for elections:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/5/19/124239/061/359/518313

[http://users.livejournal.com/_rowan_tree_/]

my humble prediction was wrong - if pessimistic predictions turn out to be wrong, that's just fine with me :-)

Wow, the Oregon system is so similar the Secure Election Protocol that we studied in Cryptography!